ARTÉMIA Utilities Stakeholder Risk Index | Fall 2026
Cross-sector flagship report · Fall 2026

Utilities Stakeholder Risk Index

Where stakeholder pressure is building across electric and gas, water and wastewater and telecommunications and broadband.

U.S. focus6–12 month stakeholder outlookElectric + Gas · Water · Telecom

Stakeholder pressure is rising fastest where infrastructure expansion collides with affordability, local control and unequal allocation of costs or impacts.

Executive read

The stakeholder environment has changed

Utilities are being asked to expand, modernize and harden essential infrastructure while customers, regulators and communities are placing greater scrutiny on how those decisions are made and who is expected to pay.

The most consequential near-term challenge is no longer simply whether utilities can build enough infrastructure. It is whether regulators, customers and host communities believe utilities are making defensible decisions about who benefits, who pays and who bears the disruption.

That pattern cuts across electricity and gas, water and telecommunications. A rate increase can become a judgment about governance. A transmission project can become a dispute over local burden and regional benefit. A water-conservation campaign can become harder to sustain when communities approve new high-volume users. A broadband award can lose credibility if residents still cannot order service at their address.

Increasingly, stakeholders are judging utility decisions not only on whether they are technically justified or regulatorily compliant, but on whether the distribution of benefits, costs and consequences feels fair. That changes the role of communications and stakeholder engagement. These functions are becoming part of infrastructure delivery itself because questions of affordability, process, local influence and institutional responsibility can affect whether a project moves forward smoothly.

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Index at a glance

Fall 2026 risk environment

The index ranks stakeholder exposure, not technical-failure probability. Higher-ranked issues affect more stakeholders, show stronger political or regulatory acceleration and have greater potential to delay projects or damage trust.

Overall environment
High and increasing↑ Broad pressure
Broadest near-term pressure
Affordability & political intervention↑ Increasing
Fastest-moving structural issue
Large-load growth & cost allocation↑ Increasing rapidly
Most persistent local pressure
Community acceptance of infrastructure↑ Increasing
Highest cross-sector uncertaintyFederal-state-local policy divergence
01Affordability is becoming a governance issueAll sectorsIncreasing+

Electric and gas utilities requested $18.6 billion in rate increases during the first half of 2026 while roughly one in six households was reportedly behind on energy bills. Similar affordability pressure appears in water and broadband. The stakeholder risk is that technical cost-recovery decisions become judgments about utility management, profitability and fairness. 1234

What to watch: Winter 2026–27 arrears and disconnection pressure; large rate proceedings and negotiated settlements; greater scrutiny of which customers benefit from individual capital programs.
02Large-load growth is turning cost allocation into a public issueElectric / WaterIncreasing rapidly+

Data centers and other large loads are forcing regulators to decide how infrastructure risk should be shared among developers, utilities, shareholders and existing customers. The evidence supports escalating disputes over forecast credibility and cost allocation, not a blanket claim that every large load currently raises residential rates. 2122235

What to watch: More separate large-load tariffs or customer classes; forecast audits in rate and resource proceedings; public disclosure disputes involving special contracts.
03Community opposition is moving earlier in the infrastructure cycleAll sectorsIncreasing+

Local opposition is increasingly developing through zoning, planning commissions and community coalitions before conventional utility proceedings begin. The issue is not simply whether infrastructure is needed, but whether affected communities believe they had meaningful visibility and influence before major decisions hardened. 101112

What to watch: Data-center and industrial-development moratoriums; community-benefit demands tied to approval; tribal consultation and route-level transmission disputes.
04Electric reliability is becoming harder to separate from growthElectricIncreasing structurally+

NERC reported a stronger summer 2026 outlook, but longer-term analysis still points to rapid peak-demand growth and resource-adequacy challenges. The stakeholder risk is increasingly about planning credibility: how utilities explain uncertain forecasts, connection pressure and the slower pace of generation and transmission delivery. 62526

What to watch: Late-2026 and 2027 capacity procurements; rapid changes to large-load forecasts; transmission and generation delays relative to projected demand.
05Water scarcity is becoming an allocation debateWaterIncreasing+

Widespread drought and Colorado River reductions are placing water systems between existing customers, agriculture, tribes, developers and large industrial users. The communications challenge is highest where conservation appeals coexist with continued approval of new high-volume demand. 152728

What to watch: Implementation of 2027 Colorado River reductions; growth approvals in water-constrained markets; industrial drought-curtailment provisions and water-use disclosure.
06Cybersecurity incidents are becoming public-safety eventsAll sectorsIncreasing+

Cyber incidents increasingly create questions about service safety, preparedness and transparency rather than remaining technical events. Water is particularly sensitive because customers may interpret any operational disruption as a drinking-water safety problem. 82930

What to watch: Changes to federal information-sharing protections; new cyber requirements for water systems; vendor access and manual-operation preparedness.
07Wildfire creates competing expectations that cannot all be optimized at onceElectric / TelecomIncreasing in exposed regions+

Wildfire-exposed utilities are expected to prevent ignitions, limit shutoffs, protect vulnerable customers, compensate victims and keep mitigation costs manageable. Those objectives do not always align, creating persistent stakeholder pressure around the balance among safety, continuity and affordability. 731

What to watch: Wildfire-fund adequacy; PSPS frequency and notification performance; insurance and liability changes.
08Water infrastructure financing is becoming harder to keep invisibleWaterIncreasing+

Water utilities are asking customers to fund aging, buried infrastructure at the same time federal financing faces uncertainty. Preventive investment is difficult to communicate because the avoided failure is invisible, making neighborhood-level service outcomes increasingly important to the capital narrative. 332

What to watch: Final FY2027 water appropriations; local bond and rate hearings; lead and PFAS capital requirements entering rates.
09Broadband is entering the delivery phase — and the credibility test that comes with itTelecomIncreasing+

BEAD is moving from maps and awards into construction while rules, technology choices and location data continue to change. Communities will judge success less by statewide award totals and more by whether service reaches their address, performs as expected and remains affordable. 191320

What to watch: Missed construction and permitting milestones; technology substitutions; provider withdrawals or award revisions.
10Fragmented authority is creating an accountability problemAll sectorsIncreasing+

Federal, state and local priorities are diverging across reliability, climate, affordability, broadband and infrastructure policy. Utilities and providers can become the visible face of externally imposed decisions unless authority, responsibility and cost recovery are clearly delineated. 17181920

What to watch: Federal actions that conflict with state plans; funding changes that force local project revisions; disputes over which institution owns a delay or cost increase.
Cross-sector analysis

Five stakeholder fault lines

These recurring tensions help explain why otherwise defensible infrastructure decisions can become difficult to communicate, politically volatile or slow to execute.

01

Investment vs. Affordability

All three sectors require sustained investment, but stakeholders are increasingly challenging the assumption that costs should simply be socialized across the broader customer base. The core question is becoming who benefits from an investment, how certain the underlying demand is and why the proposed allocation of cost is fair.

02

Reliability vs. Cost

Customers expect electricity, safe water and connectivity to remain available through increasingly difficult operating conditions. Resilience, redundancy and hardening cost money, often before customers see a tangible benefit. Utilities can therefore be criticized for spending too much before an event and too little after one.

03

Deployment Speed vs. Stakeholder Consent

Federal and state policy increasingly favors faster infrastructure delivery while local communities want more disclosure, time and influence. Data centers, transmission, broadband construction and water-supply projects all show that faster formal approval does not necessarily produce faster delivery if stakeholder acceptance has not kept pace.

04

Growth vs. Existing Customers

New industrial development can create jobs, tax revenue and utility demand, but existing customers want assurance that growth will not shift infrastructure costs, reduce reliability or consume constrained resources without clear protections.

05

National Priorities vs. Local Authority

Utility projects increasingly sit inside fragmented decision systems involving federal agencies, state regulators, municipalities, tribal governments, regional operators, developers and utilities. When authority is unclear, organizations can be held accountable for decisions or timelines they did not fully control.

Explore by sector

Three standalone outlooks

The flagship establishes the cross-sector story. Each sector report goes deeper into the specific risks, stakeholders and signals most relevant to that operating environment.

Standalone sector outlook

Electric + Gas

How rapid system expansion, reliability obligations, wildfire exposure and long-lived infrastructure decisions are reshaping stakeholder pressure.

  • Rates, arrears and political intervention
  • Large-load cost allocation and forecast credibility
  • Reliability under load growth
  • Wildfire liability, mitigation and PSPS
  • Transmission and generation siting
Explore Electric + Gas →
Standalone sector outlook

Water + Wastewater

How infrastructure financing, scarcity, public-health obligations and emerging industrial demand are changing local stakeholder expectations.

  • Infrastructure affordability and financing
  • Drought and growth allocation
  • PFAS and lead communications
  • Cybersecurity and contamination disclosure
  • Data-center and industrial water demand
Explore Water + Wastewater →
Standalone sector outlook

Telecommunications + Broadband

How federal deployment promises, network modernization and service continuity are being judged at the address and community level.

  • BEAD delivery and map credibility
  • Broadband affordability after ACP
  • Pole attachments and make-ready
  • Copper retirement and vulnerable users
  • Wireless / 911 reliability and backup power
Explore Telecom + Broadband →
Stakeholder pressure map

The same issue looks different depending on who is evaluating it

For planning purposes, communications and public affairs teams should track not only the issue itself but the expectations and leverage of the groups most likely to shape the outcome.

StakeholderPrimary questions
Customers and ratepayersWhat will this cost me? Is service reliable? Am I paying for someone else's growth?
Regulators and commissionsAre forecasts credible? Is cost allocation defensible? Were alternatives considered?
State policymakersHow will this affect bills, reliability, economic development and constituent pressure?
Local governmentsWhat are the land-use, infrastructure, tax-base and community impacts?
Tribal governments and communitiesWas consultation meaningful? Are rights, land, water and cultural resources protected?
Community and consumer advocatesIs the process transparent? Are affordability, health and environmental impacts being addressed?
Large commercial and industrial usersCan capacity be delivered quickly and predictably? What commitments are required?
Property owners and host communitiesWhat local burden will the project create and what influence or benefit does the host community receive?
Emergency and critical-service partnersHow will continuity, notification and restoration work during an event?
Workforce, labor and contractorsCan staffing, equipment and contractor capacity support the promised schedule?
Signals we're watching

What would change the risk picture next?

These are not predictions. They are developments that would indicate stakeholder pressure is moving from emerging concern toward a more durable policy, regulatory or reputational issue.

Large-load tariffs become standard

Would formalize beneficiary-pays expectations across more jurisdictions.

Escalation: Multiple additional PUCs require separate classes, minimum bills, collateral or exit fees.

Data-center opposition spreads

Could disrupt utility planning assumptions before capacity is built.

Escalation: Statewide siting rules, coordinated county ordinances or additional moratoriums.

Forecast audits enter rate cases

Would make large-load uncertainty a formal regulatory test.

Escalation: Independent audits or project-by-project probability weighting.

Affordability shapes more elections

Would pull utility governance directly into electoral politics.

Escalation: Utility bills dominate additional statewide races or ballot initiatives.

Colorado River reductions affect growth approvals

Would turn scarcity into a visible development constraint.

Escalation: Moratoriums, industrial curtailment or litigation over priorities.

Water cyber oversight hardens

Would move cybersecurity from voluntary guidance toward compliance exposure.

Escalation: New baseline requirements or state reporting mandates.

Pole disputes threaten multiple broadband deadlines

Could turn infrastructure coordination into a national BEAD credibility issue.

Escalation: Rapid growth in accelerated FCC complaints.

Copper retirement becomes a safety issue

Could trigger state AG action and local opposition to modernization.

Escalation: High-profile failure involving alarms, elevators, medical devices or rural service.

For communications leaders

What the index means in practice

Many of these issues cannot be solved by communications. Communications becomes consequential when organizations have to explain trade-offs, understand where expectations are diverging and act before disagreement hardens into opposition.

A capital case also needs a stakeholder case

Technical necessity is no longer enough on its own. Major investments increasingly need a clear explanation of who benefits, who pays, what alternatives were considered and what protections exist if assumptions change.

Stakeholder engagement needs to move upstream

Siting, route, contract and cost-allocation decisions can determine whether later engagement is perceived as meaningful or merely explanatory.

Uncertainty has to be communicated deliberately

Forecasts, compliance timelines, restoration estimates and project schedules all contain uncertainty. Hiding that uncertainty can create a larger credibility problem when conditions change.

Institutional responsibility needs to be mapped before it is contested

Organizations need a shared understanding of who approves, pays, operates, communicates and responds across multi-party projects before an issue becomes public.

Fairness is becoming an operating condition

Stakeholders do not need to agree with every utility decision, but they increasingly expect the process, cost allocation and distribution of impacts to be defensible.

Methodology & evidence

How the index was built

The index applies the same stakeholder-risk framework across sectors, with additional weight given to recent developments and issues likely to remain consequential over the next 6–12 months.

Methodology

The Fall 2026 Index assesses stakeholder pressure across U.S. electric and gas utilities, water and wastewater systems and telecommunications and broadband providers. Research covers developments from Sept. 1, 2025 through Sept. 2, 2026.

Risks were assessed on: breadth of stakeholder exposure; regulatory and political intensity; public visibility and narrative volatility; potential operational or project-delivery consequence; geographic spread; evidence that pressure is accelerating; and likely persistence.

Direction, confidence & editorial treatment

Increasing indicates strengthening political, regulatory, customer or community pressure. Stable indicates persistent structural exposure without clear recent acceleration. Declining indicates immediate pressure appears to be easing even if the underlying issue remains.

Confidence reflects the strength and breadth of evidence. Private organizations are generally not named when an adverse incident is used only to illustrate a broader stakeholder pattern.

Research cautions

The analysis distinguishes emerging stakeholder disputes from established causal claims. The evidence supports increasing concern over large-load cost allocation and forecast uncertainty, but not a blanket conclusion that every data center raises residential rates.

Stronger near-term electric reliability conditions do not eliminate longer-term planning pressure, and changes to PFAS implementation timelines do not mean water-safety concerns have disappeared.

Source notes 39 sources
  1. PowerLines. Utilities Request $18.6 Billion in Rate Increases in First Half of 2026.
  2. National Energy Assistance Directors Association. Summer cooling costs and household electric-bill debt update.
  3. American Water Works Association. State of the Water Industry: infrastructure and funding challenges.
  4. Broadband Breakfast. Affordable Connectivity Program's end and state-level broadband action.
  5. Utility Dive. New Jersey data-center tariff legislation and large-load protections.
  6. NERC. Record Resource Additions Strengthen Summer Reliability Outlook.
  7. Nossaman. California wildfire policy, liability and mitigation framework.
  8. TIME. What to know about U.S. water-system cyberattacks.
  9. Federal Communications Commission. 911 outage investigation and settlement.
  10. Governing. Data Centers Are Spreading. So Are Moratoriums.
  11. City of Charlotte. Data Center Engagement Opportunities.
  12. MISO. Long Range Transmission Planning.
  13. Wireless Estimator. FCC accelerated pole-attachment dispute decision and BEAD deployment.
  14. ArentFox Schiff. State Regulation of Data Centers in 2026: A Shifting Landscape.
  15. Congressional Research Service. Data Centers and Water Use.
  16. RMI. Planning for Uncertain Data Center Demand.
  17. State Power Project. Challenges to DOE Section 202(c) emergency orders.
  18. Colorado Energy Office. Colorado challenge to a federal Section 202(c) order.
  19. Fierce Network. What to know about revised BEAD rules.
  20. StateScoop. States review satellite-funded BEAD locations using updated broadband data.
  21. Energy + Environmental Economics. Understanding the Drivers of Rising Electricity Rates and the Role of Data Centers.
  22. Utility Dive. Data-center growth, cost allocation and ratepayer exposure.
  23. Harvard Law School Today. How data centers may lead to higher electricity bills.
  24. Office of the Governor of Virginia. 2026 legislation addressing large-load infrastructure cost protections.
  25. Reuters. PJM capacity auction pricing and reliability procurement, July 2026.
  26. POWER Magazine. NERC warns long-term grid reliability risks are mounting.
  27. U.S. Department of the Interior. 2027–2028 Colorado River operations.
  28. Drought.gov. Current U.S. drought conditions.
  29. Congressional Research Service. Cybersecurity Information Sharing Act expiration.
  30. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. Enforcement alert on drinking-water cybersecurity vulnerabilities.
  31. California Public Utilities Commission. Public Safety Power Shutoff consumer guidance.
  32. Water Finance & Management. House spending proposal and State Revolving Fund reductions.
  33. CommonWealth Beacon. Gas utilities and leak-prone pipe replacement spending.
  34. U.S. EPA. Compliance advisory on Lead and Copper Rule requirements.
  35. U.S. Small Business Administration Office of Advocacy. EPA proposed PFAS drinking-water deadline changes.
  36. Reuters. Reporting on a major U.S. wireless service outage in January 2026.
  37. Citizens Against Government Waste. FCC copper-retirement modernization.
  38. Bandwidth. FCC 911 outage notification requirements.
  39. Manko, Gold, Katcher & Fox. EPA PFAS drinking-water rule update.
Closing perspective

Infrastructure delivery and stakeholder legitimacy are becoming increasingly inseparable.

The most resilient organizations will not be those that avoid disagreement. They will be the ones that identify where disagreement is likely to become consequential early enough to make better decisions, clarify responsibility and engage stakeholders before positions harden.

Stakeholder Risk Briefing

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ARTÉMIA Communications · Strategic Support for Complex EnvironmentsFall 2026 · Research current through Sept. 2, 2026

Request a Stakeholder Risk Briefing Tailored to Your Organization

Go beyond the sector-level outlook with a focused discussion of the stakeholder pressures, emerging issues and communications implications most relevant to your organization.